New York Red Bullsvs
FC Dallas
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
New York Red Bulls are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC Dallas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20