New York Red Bullsvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York Red Bulls are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.0 against 46.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
9.4%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80