Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Saturday, 25 July 202623:30Last updated 12:40
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Home
W
02
Full time
Charlotte

Charlotte

Away
WL
Sports Illustrated Stadium
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
New York Red Bulls(50%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
New York Red Bulls
50%
Draw
22%
Charlotte
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
New York Red Bulls
73
Charlotte
54
Defence
New York Red Bulls
66
Charlotte
66
Momentum
New York Red Bulls
100
Charlotte
50
Danger (xG)
New York Red Bulls
0.88
Charlotte
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (New York Red Bulls)
0.88
avg per match
xG for (Charlotte)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (New York Red Bulls)
1.69
avg per match
xG against (Charlotte)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
WDW
CharlotteCharlotte
WL

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
New York Red Bulls50%
Draw22%
Charlotte28%

New York Red Bulls leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

New York Red Bulls head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Sports Illustrated Stadium in mixed form (W), while Charlotte arrive in mixed form (WL). New York Red Bulls have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Charlotte over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — New York Red Bulls (66/100) and Charlotte (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

New York Red Bulls have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Charlotte have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

New York Red Bulls have generated 0.88 xG per game recently while conceding 1.69 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between New York Red Bulls and Charlotte in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects New York Red Bulls to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: New York Red Bulls 4966%, Draw 2210%, Charlotte 2824%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

W
@ Sporting Kansas City
24 May 2026
21
xG 0.9
D
vs New York City FC
17 May 2026
11
W
vs Columbus Crew
14 May 2026
32
Charlotte

Charlotte

W
vs Toronto FC
17 May 2026
31
L
vs New York City FC
14 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?

GoalVio's model predicts New York Red Bulls to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more