New York Red Bullsvs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Major League Soccer, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
8.5%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60