New York RB IIvs
FC Cincinnati II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York RB II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New York RB II 1-1 FC Cincinnati II
Original prediction
New York RB II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.5% | 64.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.34 | 16.9% | 18.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 6.62 | 13.6% | 16.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
New York RB II
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
New York RB II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80