GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

New York City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orlando City II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando City II hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York City II

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

8.1%

New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York City IIDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City IILLDWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
New York City IIOrlando City II
52.6Attack66.7
47.4Defence39.7
49.1Form49.2
50.9Power53.5
2.08xG1.98
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