New York City IIvsChicago Fire II

New York City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chicago Fire II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.