New York City IIvs
Bethlehem Steel
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
New York City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bethlehem Steel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City II hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
13.0%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20