New York City FCvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.4 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00