New York City FCvs
Philadelphia Union
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New York City FC 2-3 Philadelphia Union
Original prediction
New York City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
New York City FCLLWDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia UnionLWLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
57.4Attack46.3
55.6Defence38.9
48.1Form29.6
54.0Power40.9
2.37xG1.09