New York City FCvs
New England Revolution
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New York City FC 1-2 New England Revolution
Original prediction
New York City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.8% | 24.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.9% | 36.5% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20