New York City FCvs
DC United
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while DC United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
10.8%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20