New York City FCvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/10/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
11.2%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40