New York City FCvs
Colorado Rapids
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colorado Rapids are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
12.2%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60