GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/23/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New York City FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Leagues Cup, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York City FC

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York City FCLDDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
AtlasDDLWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
New York City FCAtlas
44.4Attack33.3
55.6Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.5Power37.2
1.77xG1.19
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