New Townvs
University of Tasmania
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
New Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while University of Tasmania are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
83.1%
Model confidence
9.7%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80