GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/4/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

New Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

65.7%

Model confidence

7.2%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownDWLDW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Olympia WarriorsWWLWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New TownOlympia Warriors
100.0Attack92.2
64.6Defence45.1
66.7Form64.7
71.0Power65.3
3.74xG1.91
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