New Townvs
Olympia Warriors
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/4/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
New Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
7.2%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60