GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 6/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

New Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hobart Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

80.5%

Model confidence

9.3%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownLDWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hobart Utd.LLWDW

GF 15 · GA 21 · avg 3.00/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
New TownHobart Utd.
100.0Attack75.0
64.6Defence0.0
66.7Form31.3
71.0Power31.3
4.50xG1.42
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