New Townvs
Hobart Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 6/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
New Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hobart Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
9.3%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 15 · GA 21 · avg 3.00/4.20