New Townvs
Hobart City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/28/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
New Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 10 · avg 4.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00