GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/10/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

New Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Clarence Zebras II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

78.9%

Model confidence

9.0%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownWDWDW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Clarence Zebras IIWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New TownClarence Zebras II
100.0Attack77.1
64.6Defence14.6
66.7Form45.8
71.0Power44.4
4.50xG1.51
View match centre →