GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

New Town are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Clarence Zebras II are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

77.6%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Clarence Zebras IILL

GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/5.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
New TownClarence Zebras II
100.0Attack77.1
64.6Defence14.6
66.7Form45.8
71.0Power44.4
4.50xG1.51
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