New Mexico Unitedvs
San Antonio
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
New Mexico United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
14.4%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00