New Mexico Unitedvs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: New Mexico United 1-0 San Antonio, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
New Mexico United 1-2 San Antonio
Original prediction
New Mexico United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.4% | 50.7% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 26.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.0% | 22.4% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
New Mexico United 1–0 San Antonio
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40