New Mexico Unitedvs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
New Mexico United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orange County SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.2 against 59.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20