New Mexico UnitedvsLouisville City

New Mexico United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Louisville City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (65.0 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.