New Mexico UnitedvsLas Vegas Lights

New Mexico United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.