GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New Mexico United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New Mexico UnitedLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado SpringsLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New Mexico UnitedColorado Springs
52.1Attack51.9
64.6Defence51.9
62.5Form46.3
61.2Power51.7
1.66xG0.97
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