GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New Mexico United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.2 against 59.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New Mexico UnitedLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Charleston BatteryWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
New Mexico UnitedCharleston Battery
52.1Attack66.7
64.6Defence57.9
62.5Form57.9
61.2Power59.5
1.42xG1.28
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