GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New Mexico United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alta are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the USL League One Cup, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New Mexico UnitedLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AltaDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New Mexico UnitedAlta
66.7Attack41.7
58.3Defence50.0
75.0Form50.0
65.4Power50.3
1.86xG1.10
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