GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/5/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Weston Bears are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

81.4%

Model confidence

81.4%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsWDDLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonWeston Bears
37.9Attack76.2
7.6Defence47.6
18.2Form63.5
23.6Power62.4
1.17xG4.20
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