New Lambtonvs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/1/2023, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New Lambton are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valentine
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50