GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/12/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonDLLLL

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New LambtonValentine
37.9Attack34.9
7.6Defence38.1
18.2Form39.7
23.6Power40.1
1.47xG1.81
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