New Lambtonvs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/2/2024, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valentine
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20