GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/28/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

74.7%

Model confidence

74.7%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New LambtonMaitland
37.9Attack60.3
7.6Defence50.8
18.2Form61.9
23.6Power60.0
1.11xG3.31
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