GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/9/2024, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Maitland are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

74.7%

Model confidence

74.7%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New LambtonMaitland
37.9Attack60.3
7.6Defence50.8
18.2Form61.9
23.6Power60.0
1.11xG3.31
View match centre →