GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/13/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Lambton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New Lambton hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while New Lambton holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Lambton

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

New Lambton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLLLLD

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lake MacquarieLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonLake Macquarie
37.9Attack30.3
7.6Defence0.0
18.2Form6.1
23.6Power14.9
2.25xG1.45
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