New Lambtonvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/23/2024, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Lambton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and New Lambton hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while New Lambton holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Lambton
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
New Lambton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 0.60/4.00