GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/6/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

67.2%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonHamilton Olympic
37.9Attack61.9
7.6Defence39.7
18.2Form33.3
23.6Power44.3
1.43xG3.22
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