GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/8/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

78.1%

Model confidence

78.1%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Edgeworth EaglesLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
New LambtonEdgeworth Eagles
37.9Attack63.5
7.6Defence54.0
18.2Form61.9
23.6Power62.1
1.03xG3.49
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