GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

78.1%

Model confidence

78.1%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Edgeworth EaglesWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
New LambtonEdgeworth Eagles
37.9Attack63.5
7.6Defence54.0
18.2Form61.9
23.6Power62.1
1.03xG3.49
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