GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/19/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Lambton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlestown City Blues hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while New Lambton holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Lambton

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

New Lambton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonCharlestown City Blues
37.9Attack39.7
7.6Defence14.3
18.2Form22.2
23.6Power28.4
2.12xG1.98
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