GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/25/2025, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLDLLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonBelmont Swansea
37.9Attack71.4
7.6Defence34.9
18.2Form55.6
23.6Power55.7
1.48xG3.86
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