GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/17/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Adamstown RosebudsLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
New LambtonAdamstown Rosebuds
37.9Attack49.2
7.6Defence31.7
18.2Form33.3
23.6Power40.1
1.63xG2.53
View match centre →