GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/3/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Adamstown RosebudsDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonAdamstown Rosebuds
37.9Attack49.2
7.6Defence31.7
18.2Form33.3
23.6Power40.1
1.63xG2.53
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