GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New England Revolution are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionWDWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Philadelphia UnionDLDDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
51.9Attack46.3
57.4Defence38.9
55.6Form29.6
55.4Power40.9
2.16xG1.04
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