New England Revolutionvs
Orlando City SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SC
Original prediction
New England Revolution
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 53.5% | 64.2% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 22.3% | 17.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 24.1% | 18.4% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
New England Revolution
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40