GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/5/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New England Revolution are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionWWLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Houston DynamoLWDDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
51.9Attack49.1
57.4Defence57.9
55.6Form61.4
55.4Power57.6
1.40xG1.17
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