GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New England Revolution are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionWDLWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC CincinnatiLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati
22.2Attack91.7
50.0Defence8.3
50.0Form50.0
44.2Power49.5
1.70xG1.95
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