GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

New England Revolution are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while DC United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

11.8%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionWLWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DC UnitedLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New England RevolutionDC United
51.9Attack48.1
57.4Defence46.3
55.6Form42.6
55.4Power48.0
1.85xG1.10
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