GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

New England Revolution are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Charlotte are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharlotteLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
New England RevolutionCharlotte
51.9Attack53.7
57.4Defence50.0
55.6Form46.3
55.4Power50.6
1.71xG1.24
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