Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:42
New England Revolution

New England Revolution

Home
WL
41
Full time
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

Away
D
Gillette Stadium
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
New England Revolution(55%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
New England Revolution
55%
Draw
21%
Atlanta United FC
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
New England Revolution
34
Atlanta United FC
34
Defence
New England Revolution
27
Atlanta United FC
66
Momentum
New England Revolution
50
Atlanta United FC
33
Danger (xG)
New England Revolution
0.90
Atlanta United FC
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (New England Revolution)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Atlanta United FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (New England Revolution)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Atlanta United FC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
WL
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
D

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
New England Revolution55%
Draw21%
Atlanta United FC23%

New England Revolution leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

New England Revolution head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Gillette Stadium in mixed form (WL), while Atlanta United FC arrive in mixed form (D). New England Revolution have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Atlanta United FC over 1 games.

The model rates New England Revolution's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Atlanta United FC defence, and Atlanta United FC's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 New England Revolution backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

New England Revolution have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Atlanta United FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between New England Revolution and Atlanta United FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects New England Revolution to win with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: New England Revolution 5530%, Draw 2136%, Atlanta United FC 2334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

New England Revolution

New England Revolution

W
vs Minnesota United FC
17 May 2026
21
L
vs Nashville SC
14 May 2026
03
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

D
@ Orlando City SC
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts New England Revolution to win with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more